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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.28+1.07vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.40+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.89+0.47vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.85vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-1.60-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.13-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Syracuse University0.280.4%1st Place
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2.82Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.47University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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3.15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.2%1st Place
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4.46Hamilton College-1.600.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 41.0% | 28.8% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Alec Wyers | 21.0% | 25.4% | 22.2% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Abby Eckert | 12.7% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 20.7% | 7.8% |
| Kayla Maguire | 16.9% | 17.4% | 23.5% | 22.4% | 15.1% | 4.7% |
| Jack Grossi | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 29.4% | 30.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 21.2% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.