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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.28+0.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh-2.13+2.40vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.89-0.86vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Syracuse University0.280.5%1st Place
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4.4University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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2.6Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.14University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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2.94Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 45.7% | 27.3% | 17.7% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 3.5% | 3.8% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 67.7% |
| Alec Wyers | 21.7% | 27.9% | 25.4% | 19.1% | 5.9% |
| Abby Eckert | 12.6% | 19.5% | 23.3% | 30.4% | 14.2% |
| Kayla Maguire | 16.5% | 21.5% | 23.7% | 27.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.