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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+2.03vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.13-0.06vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.40-0.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.13-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.6013.2%1st Place
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1.94Columbia University-0.1340.5%1st Place
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2.19Webb Institute-0.4031.4%1st Place
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2.84U. S. Military Academy-1.1314.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 13.2% | 16.7% | 24.4% | 45.7% |
| Chase O'Malley | 40.5% | 31.7% | 21.2% | 6.6% |
| Jack Prior | 31.4% | 30.5% | 25.2% | 12.8% |
| Gustavus Hankinson | 14.8% | 21.1% | 29.1% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.