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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.28+0.75vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.40+0.31vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.130.00vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.53-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Syracuse University0.280.5%1st Place
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2.31Syracuse University-0.400.3%1st Place
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2.62Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Rochester-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 50.5% | 29.2% | 15.5% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 25.2% | 32.9% | 29.4% | 10.8% | 1.7% |
| Kayla Maguire | 18.4% | 25.9% | 33.7% | 18.9% | 3.1% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 3.4% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 40.3% | 36.6% |
| Hugh Rider | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 25.7% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.