Race 1A

hood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Robert Hunter 13.3% 12.4% 10.7% 10.4% 8.2% 8.1% 7.5% 6.7% 6.3% 5.5% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 6.1% 5.1% 7.9% 6.4% 7.4% 8.2% 6.6% 7.0% 6.2% 4.0% 2.4% 0.4%
Perham Black 7.2% 5.4% 7.5% 8.2% 7.0% 6.1% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 7.0% 7.2% 6.5% 6.3% 5.2% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Patrick Mulcahy 4.6% 5.4% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 4.2% 5.2% 4.2% 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 8.5% 7.5% 8.5% 8.4% 5.8% 2.3%
Nathan Sih 8.5% 8.9% 8.0% 8.8% 6.6% 9.0% 7.0% 7.7% 6.9% 6.3% 4.9% 5.3% 4.3% 3.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Nicholas Davies 7.3% 7.2% 5.5% 6.2% 9.9% 7.9% 7.0% 6.5% 5.9% 6.7% 7.2% 6.9% 5.9% 4.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.6%
John Walton 7.4% 7.9% 6.0% 8.3% 6.8% 7.5% 7.2% 7.1% 7.9% 9.1% 7.2% 4.7% 4.9% 3.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Matt Hersey 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 4.7% 5.1% 5.2% 6.2% 4.4% 5.6% 5.6% 7.7% 7.7% 7.2% 9.1% 7.6% 6.6% 2.6%
Matthew Kickhafer 5.3% 6.5% 7.1% 5.8% 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 7.9% 7.4% 7.2% 6.0% 6.2% 6.1% 7.3% 3.8% 2.4% 0.6%
Ben Rosenberg 5.1% 6.1% 7.7% 6.1% 6.2% 6.4% 8.4% 6.3% 7.0% 7.4% 5.5% 6.5% 7.8% 6.0% 4.0% 2.1% 1.4%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 0.9% 1.1% 2.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 2.2% 5.6% 6.3% 10.1% 18.6% 40.8%
Jonas Nelle 9.1% 8.4% 10.4% 8.8% 6.8% 8.2% 6.7% 7.4% 6.4% 6.2% 5.4% 6.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Maks Groom 7.6% 6.7% 6.6% 7.5% 7.5% 8.6% 8.0% 8.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 3.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Nicholas Salvesen 2.2% 3.2% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 3.7% 5.6% 8.6% 8.0% 10.6% 12.1% 12.4% 5.7%
Matt Budington 8.1% 7.4% 7.9% 6.1% 7.7% 5.7% 5.8% 8.2% 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.1% 5.8% 4.7% 3.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Nicholas Hardy 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 2.9% 4.3% 5.7% 6.3% 11.2% 13.5% 18.4% 17.6%
Ben Palmer 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 3.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.2% 7.3% 6.5% 12.5% 19.4% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.