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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.76+7.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+2.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08+4.38vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.28+2.36vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.20+1.98vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07+0.14vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.72+0.88vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-3.36vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.39-3.79vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.25+2.39vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.33-5.52vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.35-2.82vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-7.65vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.80-3.02vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.57-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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5.63Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.36Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.21Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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14.39Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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12.98Boston University0.800.0%1st Place
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13.53Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Perham Black | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Matt Budington | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 18.8% | 40.9% |
| John Walton | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 6.3% |
| Maks Groom | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.