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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.76+8.12vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+5.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+3.64vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08+4.25vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+0.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.35+3.86vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.26-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07-0.59vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.72-0.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.39-3.84vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-4.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.23+2.10vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.28-6.44vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.19vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.79vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.57-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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15.1Boston University-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.56Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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14.21Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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13.37Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Perham Black | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Matt Budington | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 20.3% | 50.4% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 27.2% | 25.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 16.3% | 23.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.