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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.28+6.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.81+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+5.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+3.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.76+4.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.08+2.40vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26+0.58vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.72+1.39vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.33-1.57vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-3.45vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.57+2.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.19vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.39-5.86vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-6.63vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.96vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.35-5.07vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.23-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.43Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.29Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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14.04Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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15.19Boston University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Perham Black | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Matt Budington | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| John Walton | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 25.2% | 16.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 27.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 19.9% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.