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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+4.39vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+5.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.39+3.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+3.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.76+4.19vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.26+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.35+3.89vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07-0.57vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.28-2.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.98vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.25+2.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.57+0.34vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.08-5.70vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.23+0.07vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.72-6.44vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.20-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.29Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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14.1Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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13.34Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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15.07Boston University-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Walton | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Matt Budington | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 25.4% | 26.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 16.7% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 48.8% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Perham Black | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.