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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.44+0.35vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology-1.63+1.08vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.49-0.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.08vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-2.18-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35Columbia University0.4472.2%1st Place
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3.08Stevens Institute of Technology-1.638.7%1st Place
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2.95SUNY Stony Brook-1.4911.0%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Military Academy-2.373.6%1st Place
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3.7Webb Institute-2.184.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 72.2% | 22.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Saletta | 8.7% | 24.2% | 30.7% | 23.2% | 13.2% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 11.0% | 27.1% | 28.8% | 22.2% | 10.9% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 3.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 26.9% | 42.1% |
| Laura Peck | 4.5% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 26.8% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.