Race 14B

old-guard-owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Joseph Morris 19.7% 17.9% 14.5% 13.9% 8.8% 9.1% 6.5% 4.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Russom 4.3% 3.8% 7.5% 6.7% 6.1% 6.5% 8.5% 8.3% 10.2% 11.3% 13.1% 10.6% 3.0% 0.1%
Ryan Pesch 10.1% 12.2% 10.1% 8.8% 11.7% 10.4% 9.2% 9.7% 7.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 4.6% 7.0% 7.6% 6.6% 7.4% 10.2% 8.5% 10.6% 9.3% 10.0% 9.8% 6.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 3.8% 4.7% 6.9% 6.2% 7.3% 8.6% 9.2% 8.7% 9.4% 9.8% 11.9% 10.9% 2.6% 0.0%
Tedd Himler 24.8% 19.7% 17.1% 13.2% 10.4% 5.5% 4.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 8.4% 8.8% 8.5% 9.3% 9.8% 10.1% 9.5% 9.7% 8.2% 8.2% 5.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Brendan Hannon 5.4% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.2% 7.7% 10.3% 8.6% 9.4% 9.1% 10.7% 10.0% 2.3% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 4.5% 3.8% 4.7% 6.0% 7.6% 7.7% 8.7% 8.0% 12.9% 11.1% 11.0% 10.8% 3.0% 0.2%
Elizabeth Whipple 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.7% 11.8% 10.0% 8.8% 10.6% 8.3% 8.1% 5.2% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Eric Schwarm 3.6% 4.0% 4.1% 7.0% 6.6% 7.2% 6.9% 8.4% 10.0% 11.6% 11.9% 15.2% 3.4% 0.1%
Arthur Bailey IV 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 4.9% 4.7% 6.7% 8.7% 8.3% 10.0% 10.3% 12.9% 18.1% 5.0% 0.4%
Andrew Werner 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 8.0% 65.7% 14.6%
Patrick Bowers 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 1.0% 12.2% 84.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.