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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+4.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.39+4.88vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+5.19vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.28+3.47vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.33+2.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.76+3.59vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.08+1.19vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.72+1.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-2.21vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.26-2.60vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.20-3.07vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.35-1.17vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.63vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.57-1.77vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.82vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.23-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.93Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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13.23Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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14.18Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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15.2Boston University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Budington | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Perham Black | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 2.6% |
| Maks Groom | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 16.6% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 23.8% | 27.1% |
| Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.