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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+6.99vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.81+3.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.76+6.38vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+3.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.26+1.66vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.28+0.43vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.33-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.35+2.02vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.39-3.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.56vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.57+1.27vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-6.27vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.08-5.71vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.72-5.51vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.81vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.23-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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6.96Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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13.27Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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15.2Boston University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Perham Black | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Matt Budington | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 16.7% | 22.2% | 17.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 25.4% | 26.7% |
| Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.