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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.10+6.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+5.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.67+5.94vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54-0.77vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+2.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.91+1.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.13-0.87vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-0.20vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.69-4.61vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.09+0.12vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.36-1.94vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.50+2.29vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.47-0.87vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.14-4.20vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.90-4.24vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.55-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.94Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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3.23Harvard University3.540.3%1st Place
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7.1Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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10.06Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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15.29Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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13.13Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Sheridan | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 26.8% | 21.1% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Riley Read | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 5.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Julia Beck | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 16.3% | 58.1% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 16.5% |
| Lera Anders | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Luke Quine | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 7.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.