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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+4.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+1.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+4.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.67+4.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.07+2.34vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.55+3.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+0.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-0.29vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.47+4.20vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.09+1.01vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.14-0.09vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.36-1.92vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.91-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.90-2.24vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.10-7.66vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-7.33vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University-0.50-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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3.09Harvard University3.540.3%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.89Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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13.2Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.08Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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15.37Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 28.3% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Riley Read | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 23.3% | 16.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Lera Anders | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Henry Lee | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Luke Quine | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 7.2% |
| Nick Budington | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Julia Beck | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.