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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.14+9.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+1.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.07+4.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+4.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+2.72vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13+1.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.91-0.08vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.69-3.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.67-1.19vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.10-3.45vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.09-0.90vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.50+2.29vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.55-4.40vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.90-4.27vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.47-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.62Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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3.1Harvard University3.540.3%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.81Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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11.1Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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15.29Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.09Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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13.06Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 28.3% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lulu Russell | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Michael Pinto | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Graham Ness | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Riley Read | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Nick Budington | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 5.4% |
| Julia Beck | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 58.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Luke Quine | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| Quinn Collins | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.