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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.44+0.79vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+0.67vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.51-0.27vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-1.08-0.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Columbia University0.4447.4%1st Place
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2.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.4519.9%1st Place
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2.73Webb Institute-0.5119.3%1st Place
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3.35Stevens Institute of Technology-1.0810.3%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Military Academy-2.373.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elizabeth Frost | 47.4% | 32.0% | 15.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
Ernest Glukhov | 19.9% | 25.5% | 28.0% | 21.2% | 5.4% |
Giovanni Perrotti | 19.3% | 24.5% | 26.5% | 23.4% | 6.3% |
Yang Yi Zheng | 10.3% | 13.9% | 22.9% | 36.5% | 16.4% |
Gabriel Kunze | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.