Race 15B

old-guard-owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tedd Himler 30.0% 22.1% 15.7% 10.9% 8.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Hannon 5.7% 7.3% 8.6% 7.2% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 9.5% 9.7% 12.0% 7.0% 7.6% 1.3% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 5.7% 5.7% 6.8% 6.9% 6.7% 6.3% 8.0% 9.2% 9.8% 10.1% 10.6% 11.5% 2.7% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 6.6% 10.3% 10.5% 7.9% 10.4% 10.6% 10.1% 7.7% 8.3% 7.2% 5.5% 4.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 5.7% 6.1% 8.9% 7.8% 9.4% 8.4% 9.6% 7.4% 9.9% 9.0% 9.9% 6.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Michael Russom 5.4% 4.0% 5.1% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 9.5% 10.1% 9.3% 10.1% 9.8% 13.3% 3.3% 0.3%
Emily Billing 9.8% 10.7% 10.7% 10.5% 9.4% 9.6% 9.9% 8.5% 6.1% 6.6% 4.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Ryan Pesch 11.5% 13.2% 10.8% 12.2% 9.6% 10.3% 8.0% 7.4% 6.1% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 8.4% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 11.5% 9.9% 9.9% 10.7% 8.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Eric Schwarm 4.1% 4.1% 4.6% 6.9% 7.6% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 10.5% 12.4% 12.8% 3.2% 0.3%
Arthur Bailey IV 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.6% 6.9% 7.3% 6.1% 7.0% 11.0% 8.9% 13.2% 17.4% 4.7% 0.4%
Wells Bacon 6.2% 6.9% 7.3% 9.3% 8.5% 10.5% 9.1% 9.8% 8.9% 7.2% 8.3% 6.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Patrick Bowers 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 11.9% 84.5%
Andrew Werner 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 3.5% 7.0% 66.1% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.