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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.90+9.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.07+4.53vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.10+3.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.69+0.27vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.09+5.26vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+0.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14+2.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-1.01vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.13-2.88vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.47+2.06vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.67-3.07vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.91-4.80vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-5.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-4.86vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.50-0.62vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.55-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Harvard University3.540.3%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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13.06Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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8.93Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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15.38Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 29.1% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Nick Budington | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.9% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
| Riley Read | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lera Anders | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Michael Pinto | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Graham Ness | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 21.5% | 18.7% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Henry Lee | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Lulu Russell | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Julia Beck | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 16.5% | 56.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.