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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+2.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.91+5.10vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.69+1.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.67+3.78vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+2.83vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+0.24vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.36+1.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.14+2.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.90+1.63vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.55-1.43vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.10-4.71vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.13-5.71vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-6.09vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.09-3.93vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.50-0.62vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.47-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Harvard University3.540.3%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.78Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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7.29Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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15.38Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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13.09Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 29.8% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Lulu Russell | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Riley Read | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| Lera Anders | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 4.0% |
| Luke Quine | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 6.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Nick Budington | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Graham Ness | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Pinto | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Julia Beck | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 58.7% |
| Quinn Collins | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.