Race 1A

invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sophia Montgomery 11.0% 12.7% 11.9% 13.7% 14.0% 14.7% 12.2% 8.3% 1.5%
Thomas Johnson 4.5% 5.3% 7.5% 10.1% 13.2% 12.2% 16.6% 23.2% 7.4%
Adrien Bellanger 9.0% 10.2% 11.1% 13.1% 12.5% 15.8% 13.5% 12.2% 2.6%
Dylan Ascencios 32.4% 25.7% 17.9% 11.0% 6.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Christine Reimer 7.5% 9.8% 10.3% 11.5% 12.3% 11.7% 14.5% 17.2% 5.2%
Liam Lawless 7.3% 7.0% 9.2% 10.9% 12.3% 13.4% 17.6% 18.0% 4.3%
Brooke Schmelz 16.5% 17.3% 16.5% 16.2% 13.1% 10.7% 6.5% 2.8% 0.4%
Nicholas Hurley 10.9% 10.8% 13.7% 12.3% 13.3% 14.5% 13.6% 8.3% 2.6%
William Stottlemyer 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 1.2% 2.7% 2.9% 3.9% 9.3% 76.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.