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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.64+3.57vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+0.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.69+1.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.06+0.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.40vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-1.45vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.25-2.62vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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2.72Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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3.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.2%1st Place
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5.55Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.38Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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8.33Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 29.3% | 25.8% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Johnson | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 7.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 18.6% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Liam Lawless | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 5.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 5.1% |
| William Stottlemyer | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.