Race 3A

invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Thomas Johnson 6.3% 6.3% 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 14.3% 17.5% 21.6% 6.8%
Nicholas Hurley 8.3% 10.1% 12.8% 13.8% 15.7% 13.6% 12.1% 10.8% 2.8%
Brooke Schmelz 17.4% 15.8% 16.5% 16.4% 12.5% 9.9% 7.3% 3.9% 0.3%
Dylan Ascencios 33.2% 27.2% 15.3% 10.6% 8.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Christine Reimer 6.8% 9.6% 11.7% 11.4% 11.0% 12.6% 15.2% 16.3% 5.4%
Sophia Montgomery 11.1% 12.1% 13.3% 14.7% 14.2% 13.7% 12.5% 7.3% 1.1%
Adrien Bellanger 8.8% 10.6% 11.8% 10.9% 15.3% 15.0% 13.9% 11.4% 2.3%
Liam Lawless 7.1% 7.4% 8.6% 11.0% 11.0% 14.1% 16.5% 18.5% 5.8%
William Stottlemyer 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.7% 9.4% 75.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.