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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.69+2.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.64+1.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75-1.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51-0.30vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-0.57vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.25-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.06-2.28vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.2%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.61Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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2.56Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.43Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.36Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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8.31Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 18.2% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 32.8% | 25.4% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Liam Lawless | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 4.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 4.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 7.2% |
| William Stottlemyer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.