Race 5A

invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sophia Montgomery 10.8% 12.6% 12.8% 12.8% 14.8% 14.6% 11.6% 7.6% 2.4%
Thomas Johnson 4.4% 5.5% 8.2% 9.4% 11.1% 14.4% 15.9% 23.2% 7.9%
Brooke Schmelz 17.2% 16.3% 17.0% 14.2% 13.1% 10.8% 8.0% 3.0% 0.4%
Dylan Ascencios 33.6% 26.4% 14.6% 12.6% 7.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3%
Adrien Bellanger 8.9% 13.1% 12.6% 14.5% 11.3% 12.2% 12.6% 11.9% 2.9%
Nicholas Hurley 11.5% 10.1% 14.3% 13.6% 14.4% 14.2% 10.9% 8.7% 2.3%
Christine Reimer 6.2% 7.1% 10.1% 10.4% 14.2% 14.7% 16.1% 17.1% 4.1%
William Stottlemyer 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 2.4% 4.8% 10.3% 74.4%
Liam Lawless 6.6% 7.9% 8.7% 10.8% 11.0% 13.4% 18.5% 17.8% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.