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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+1.60vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.69+2.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.64+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.06+1.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.40vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-0.56vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51-2.20vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.25-2.62vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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4.69Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.63Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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3.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.2%1st Place
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5.44Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.38Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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8.3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 31.9% | 23.9% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 9.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 5.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 19.8% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Liam Lawless | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 4.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Christine Reimer | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 5.1% |
| William Stottlemyer | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.