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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+4.51vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.64+2.76vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75-0.39vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.44vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.69-0.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-1.18vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81+1.33vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.25-2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.06-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.76Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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2.61Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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3.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.2%1st Place
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4.38Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.82Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.33Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.36Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Lawless | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 31.9% | 23.7% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 17.9% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 2.1% |
| William Stottlemyer | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 8.9% | 77.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 5.8% |
| Thomas Johnson | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 22.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.