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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.44+0.82vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+0.66vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology-1.08+0.31vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.51-1.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Columbia University0.4448.0%1st Place
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2.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.4518.7%1st Place
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3.31Stevens Institute of Technology-1.0811.1%1st Place
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2.71Webb Institute-0.5119.9%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Military Academy-2.372.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elizabeth Frost | 48.0% | 29.9% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
Ernest Glukhov | 18.7% | 27.6% | 27.2% | 22.1% | 4.5% |
Yang Yi Zheng | 11.1% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 36.5% | 15.5% |
Giovanni Perrotti | 19.9% | 24.4% | 27.4% | 21.7% | 6.6% |
Gabriel Kunze | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.