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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.64+3.58vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+1.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75-1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.06+0.52vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.69-1.58vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-1.45vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.25-2.64vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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3.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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4.88Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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2.52Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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4.42Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.55Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.36Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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8.3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Hurley | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.4% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 33.8% | 25.7% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 7.4% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Liam Lawless | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 5.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 5.2% |
| William Stottlemyer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.