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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+3.81vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.69+2.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.64+1.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.45vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.25+0.22vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.06-1.24vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81+0.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.67Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.64Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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3.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.2%1st Place
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5.22Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.46Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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8.3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
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2.59Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 2.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 16.2% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 5.1% |
| Liam Lawless | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 4.7% |
| Thomas Johnson | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 23.1% | 6.4% |
| William Stottlemyer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 75.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 33.6% | 24.0% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.