Race 10A

invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Adrien Bellanger 9.5% 10.7% 10.6% 12.9% 15.0% 13.2% 13.5% 12.5% 2.1%
Sophia Montgomery 8.2% 11.4% 14.0% 13.8% 14.8% 14.6% 11.1% 9.6% 2.5%
Brooke Schmelz 17.4% 15.9% 15.7% 16.5% 13.4% 11.3% 6.7% 2.9% 0.2%
Dylan Ascencios 34.1% 26.1% 15.1% 12.3% 7.2% 2.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Hurley 10.5% 14.8% 14.4% 11.4% 12.6% 13.7% 11.4% 8.4% 2.8%
Thomas Johnson 5.6% 6.3% 8.6% 10.2% 10.6% 14.1% 17.7% 20.7% 6.2%
Liam Lawless 6.1% 6.5% 9.8% 10.1% 12.1% 14.5% 16.9% 19.1% 4.9%
Christine Reimer 7.6% 7.4% 9.6% 11.2% 11.5% 13.8% 16.6% 17.3% 5.0%
William Stottlemyer 1.0% 0.9% 2.2% 1.6% 2.8% 2.1% 4.2% 8.9% 76.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.