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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+7.18vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+7.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+5.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89+2.72vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-2.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.75vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.16vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.07-1.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.71-1.17vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.61+1.30vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.52-7.07vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.17-3.29vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.11-4.11vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.3Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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12.89Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.9% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 34.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 17.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.