← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+7.77vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.03+7.38vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+8.04vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.77+6.04vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.07+0.16vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.89+3.68vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.52+0.15vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.46-0.70vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.67vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.92-4.16vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.30-2.89vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.52-0.42vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-2.36vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.61+0.18vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.07-6.07vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.17-3.32vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.71-6.38vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College1.11-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
9.38Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
11.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
10.04Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
5.16Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
-
9.68University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
7.15Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
7.3Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.84Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.11Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
11.58Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
-
14.18Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.93Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
12.68University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
10.62Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
-
12.56Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.6% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 33.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.