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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+4.36vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+7.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.80vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+4.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.89+4.64vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.52+1.18vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+2.12vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-1.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.34vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.61+3.51vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.17+0.96vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.71-2.68vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.11-1.52vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-4.20vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-5.68vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-5.64vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.30-10.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.28Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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5.8Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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14.51Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.48Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.6% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Grace Gear | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 35.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 15.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.