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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+5.58vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+6.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+6.11vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+5.66vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-0.84vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.52-0.93vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.07-0.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52+0.36vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.11+1.11vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.17-0.64vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-4.63vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.61-0.55vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.30-7.98vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-6.03vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.71-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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5.16Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.11Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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14.45Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 19.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 33.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.