← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.46+5.86vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.52+4.76vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.07+5.54vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+6.31vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.71+4.76vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.25vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.20vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.03+0.48vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.52+1.82vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.07-5.09vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.11+1.22vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.87vs Predicted
-
13Yale University2.92-7.46vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.30-6.22vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.61-1.36vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.17-3.98vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.77-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.86Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
6.76Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
8.54Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
-
9.76Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
10.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.48Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
10.82Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
4.91Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
-
12.22Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
-
8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
5.54Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.78Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
13.64Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
-
12.02University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.77Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 36.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.