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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+7.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.07+5.45vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.82vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+1.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-1.59vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.52-1.34vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.26vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.17+1.84vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.61+2.62vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.92vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.73+0.29vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.73vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.71-5.14vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.70vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.41Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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13.62Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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13.29Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 17.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 10.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 33.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 26.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.