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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+6.70vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+6.23vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+6.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+3.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+4.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-1.60vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.46-1.33vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.52-2.44vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.07-1.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-0.78vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-7.13vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.71-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.17-2.61vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.00vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.61-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.4Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.87Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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13.22Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.