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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.52+4.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.17+8.45vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.71+4.60vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+1.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+1.20vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-3.73vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-1.54vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.07-2.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.46-5.10vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-4.23vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.61-1.80vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.52-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.27Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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13.2Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.5% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 42.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.