← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+8.71vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+5.80vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.71+6.57vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.07+4.48vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.92+0.29vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.30+1.50vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.07-2.06vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.52-1.50vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.46-2.19vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.77-0.53vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.12vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.17-0.62vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.15vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.61-1.02vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.52-4.59vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.03-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
-
7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
9.57Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
-
8.48Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
-
5.29Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.5Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.94Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
-
6.5Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.81Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
9.47Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
11.38University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.98Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
-
10.41Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.45Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Scherer | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 17.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 18.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 37.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.