← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.52+5.47vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.03+6.25vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.77+6.37vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+6.04vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.92+0.34vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.30+1.53vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.07-2.10vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.17+3.34vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.07-0.77vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.46-3.08vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.52-0.78vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.71-2.44vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-5.20vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-4.16vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-8.03vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.61-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.47Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
8.25Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
9.37Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
5.34Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.53Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.9Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
-
11.34University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
8.23Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
6.92Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
10.22Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
9.56Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
-
6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
13.22Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 6.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 17.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 16.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.