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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+7.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+6.73vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.77+9.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31+1.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.95vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.20+3.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-3.37vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.69-0.04vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.50-0.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-3.15vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.28-1.81vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.18-2.55vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.55-8.80vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.67-2.26vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-4.99vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.33-11.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.73Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.11Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.63Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont1.690.1%1st Place
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10.59Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.19Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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13.74Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 19.8% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline James | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Sarah Young | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 26.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.