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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+8.70vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.28+9.68vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.77+10.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.31+2.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.20+5.67vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33+0.09vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.69+0.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-1.26vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-2.21vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-6.01vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-1.33vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.67-0.61vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.55-8.81vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.18-4.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-8.95vs Predicted
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18Boston College1.50-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.68Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.48Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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7.09Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.67Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.99Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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13.39Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 21.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline James | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 23.8% |
| Sarah Young | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| Emma Snead | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.