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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.18+9.91vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+5.98vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.16+7.27vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.83vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31+0.99vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.50+2.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.54vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-3.41vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-2.01vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.20+0.21vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.33-5.24vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-6.66vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-7.95vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.28-4.32vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.30vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.58-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.91University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.98Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.59Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.21Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.7Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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13.2Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Haviland | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Emma Snead | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 21.2% |
| Lauren Krim | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.