← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.70+4.33vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.31+4.75vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.73+5.98vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.18+7.15vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.39vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.28+4.88vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.55-1.03vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.98-0.11vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.16+2.37vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.47-4.62vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.33-5.26vs Predicted
-
13Boston College1.50-2.95vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.77-1.28vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.20-4.03vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University0.58-2.77vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.33Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.75Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
8.98Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.15University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
-
7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
10.88Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
-
5.97Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.89Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
11.37Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
6.38Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.74Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
10.05Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
-
12.72Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
10.97Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
13.23Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
-
9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% |
| Emma Snead | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Young | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 21.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 27.7% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.