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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+5.55vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+3.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+5.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.34vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+1.09vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.50+4.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.59vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.67+4.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.31-2.05vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-1.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.28-0.09vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-0.75vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.55-6.93vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.20-2.78vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.18-3.83vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-6.87vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.77-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.32Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.12Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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12.66Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.95Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.89Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.25Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.22Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 24.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% |
| Sarah Young | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.