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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+5.64vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+4.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+5.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+2.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.55-1.02vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16+3.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-3.80vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.28-0.10vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.50-2.09vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.18-1.72vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.20-2.78vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.67-2.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.35vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-11.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.03Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.02Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.91Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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11.22Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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12.91Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.65Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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5.57Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 24.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 19.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.