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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.16+9.94vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+4.69vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+2.49vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+2.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.43vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28+4.91vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.67+4.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.18+0.25vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.31-5.21vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.50-2.93vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-4.84vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.73-5.93vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.35vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.20-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.94Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.49Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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13.12Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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6.79Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.65Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 26.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 21.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.