← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+6.37vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.33+4.63vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.22vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.06vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.98+2.89vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.16+5.44vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.18+4.07vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.31-1.30vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.55-2.82vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.70-4.64vs Predicted
-
11Boston College1.50-0.95vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.73-3.00vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University0.67-0.03vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.28-3.07vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.47-8.69vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.20-4.84vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.77-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.63Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
-
7.89Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
11.44Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
-
6.7Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.18Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.36Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
10.05Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.0Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
-
12.97Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
-
10.93Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
-
6.31Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
11.16Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
12.65Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 25.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.