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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+5.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.31+4.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.53vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+7.12vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+0.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28+4.96vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.23vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.50+1.74vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-2.58vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16+1.10vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-1.83vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.55-5.96vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-0.23vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.73-4.82vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.20-3.96vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.67-3.01vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-8.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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5.32Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston College1.500.1%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.1Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.77Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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9.18Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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12.99Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 5.5% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 22.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 25.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.