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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.51+2.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+2.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.67+0.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+0.57vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.34+0.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.61-2.64vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.06-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.85-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Brown University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.54Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University1.670.2%1st Place
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4.57Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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3.36Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
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6.21University of New Hampshire0.060.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Rhode Island0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 18.4% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 8.2% |
| Philip Lengyel | 21.7% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 11.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 8.9% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 24.8% |
| Adam Larzelere | 19.4% | 21.3% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Emily Zaleski | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 40.4% |
| Iain Jaeger | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.