← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.51+2.49vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.02+2.53vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.00+1.53vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.67-0.69vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.34+0.75vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.85-1.23vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.61-3.51vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire0.06-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49Brown University1.510.2%1st Place
-
4.53Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.53Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
-
3.31Tufts University1.670.2%1st Place
-
5.75Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
-
4.77University of Rhode Island0.850.1%1st Place
-
3.49Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
-
6.14University of New Hampshire0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 20.0% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| Philip Lengyel | 20.5% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 22.4% | 25.7% |
| Iain Jaeger | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 11.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 19.3% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Emily Zaleski | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.